Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 9.319108 10.801378 12.392162 14.220502 16.257761 18.451986 20.987766
2025-04-06 7.569920 9.522492 11.750860 14.461958 17.649953 21.258169 25.628135
2025-04-13 6.358704 8.579034 11.247541 14.649071 18.824697 23.737134 29.903427
2025-04-20 5.575859 7.998313 11.042709 15.079085 20.213233 26.445769 34.495535
2025-04-27 4.913055 7.458414 10.790374 15.366312 21.371401 28.861703 38.774357
2025-05-04 4.274721 6.856190 10.370112 15.358561 22.097080 30.713013 42.368436
2025-05-11 3.543437 6.024441 9.542696 14.710439 21.898482 31.319293 44.342670
2025-05-18 3.060817 5.490898 9.067646 14.483787 22.213961 32.565403 47.144377
2025-05-25 2.626433 4.973607 8.558827 14.152236 22.336603 33.523467 49.559045
2025-06-01 2.294095 4.575532 8.184914 13.974884 22.643093 34.714613 52.295364
2025-06-08 1.970425 4.148925 7.722792 13.620315 22.654877 35.472178 54.433503
2025-06-15 1.781461 3.931863 7.571245 13.722391 23.328367 37.167321 57.905031
2025-06-22 1.582473 3.673630 7.331662 13.671201 23.770337 38.550927 60.991802
2025-06-29 1.442767 3.508598 7.232630 13.833356 24.536034 40.418901 64.811329
2025-07-06 1.316399 3.352657 7.133577 13.983192 25.279844 42.267807 68.642700
2025-07-13 1.238866 3.285791 7.185498 14.384219 26.429737 44.747967 73.449499
2025-07-20 1.150776 3.184814 7.164875 14.655092 27.374648 46.938659 77.875911
2025-07-27 1.036587 3.010792 6.991479 14.645177 27.855147 48.427097 81.285909
2025-08-03 0.866779 2.683366 6.492311 14.020270 27.284222 48.265879 82.202630
2025-08-10 0.759880 2.486361 6.229635 13.801727 27.375299 49.126540 84.673367
2025-08-17 0.656317 2.279287 5.925400 13.482538 27.273286 49.668709 86.656836
2025-08-24 0.577489 2.121954 5.708846 13.311844 27.414215 50.593640 89.242677
2025-08-31 0.494900 1.938033 5.415683 12.970757 27.234507 50.986181 90.995672